A list of the players that are truly undervalued in fantasy baseball that you should consider picking up.
There will be no Pablo Sandoval's or Justin Upton's on this list-players that everyone is calling underrated so therefore...they are no longer underrated and have become overrated in fact.
CATCHER:
Kelly Shoppach (CLE)- (Available in 58% of leagues)
Will get plenty of opportunities to catch and he hit 21 HRs last season.
Jared Saltalamacchia (TEX)- (Available in 63% of leagues)
Everyone is so high on Taylor Teagarden this year that Salty has been sort of pushed to the side. He's still very young and talented so he could break out at any time.
Jesus Flores (WAS)- (Available in 93% of leagues)
Not a ton of people are familiar with him but he has produced pretty well in his 170 career big league games. He won't win you any leagues single handidly, but if one of your catchers gets injured or is struggling, have him on your radar.
FIRST BASE:
Adam LaRoche (PIT)-(Available in 60% of leagues)
Sure, he always starts out slow, but after his month or so of being far below average, he can really contribute-as evidenced by the 25 home runs he hit last season.
Todd Helton (COL)- (Available in 82% of leagues)
Did you not see the Spring he had this year? I'll be the first to tell you that spring stats are meaningless...most of the time, but I think they can be a strong indicator of someone who had a down year due to injury will perform in the upcoming season. He could be a major upgrade as your backup 1B.
SECOND BASE:
Mark Teahan (KC)- (Available in 83% of leagues)
A 27 year old who has had a couple of off years after posting a very solid 2006 campaign is a player that I would normally keep an eye on anyway. Throw in the fact that he is now moving to 2B and also has eligibility at 1B, 3B, and OF...this player could really help you out.
Ronnie Belliard (WAS)- (Available in 97% of leagues)
In 297 ABs last year, he hit 11 homers and batted .287. He is the Nationals starting second baseman. He has additional eligibility at 1B and 3B. If you are in need of some position flexibility and potential for a solid season at a shallow position, Belliard is your man.
THIRD BASE:
Chase Headley (SD)- (Available in 88% of leagues)
In about half a season's worth of ABs, he hit 9 HRs and drove in 38 runs. Now those aren't exactly what you would call starter caliber numbers, but provided you have little depth at either 3B or OF, you should seriously consider picking up Headley.
Scott Rolen (TOR)- (Available in 94% of leagues)
Yes, he more than likely will go down with some sort of injury in a month or two, but if your current third-baseman is out, A-rod and Glaus owners, you could pick Rolen up for a very solid stretch of games before the inevitable injury comes his way.
SHORTSTOP:
Jason Bartlett (TB)- (Available in 94% of leagues)
There is no real reason to own Bartlett, unless your team is in absolute dire need of steals and the shelf is completely barren of shortstops-if thats the case, then feel free picking him up.
OUTFIELD:
Adam Lind (TOR)- (Available in 56% of leagues)
But that number is probably plummeting in a hurry, and rightfully so. This kid (he's only 25) has a good makeup at the plate and has real big league power on his 6-1 215 lb frame. Drop one of your backup outfielders for this kid, you'll be glad you did.
Luke Scott (BAL)- (Available in 94% of leagues)
If your team is very average-heavy and needs a slight boost in the HR category, pick up Scott. Don't be alarmed when your team BA goes down slightly, thats to be expected with a career .226 (and sliding) hitter, but he still has solid pop in that bat.
Randy Winn (SF)- (Available in 80% of leagues)
Of the free-agent OFs, he is as close to the anti-LukeScott as you can really get. The power has all but left the bat of this 34 year old, but he is very crafty on the base paths and a solid batting average guy. Expect a .300 average and 20 or so steals with a dozen HRs tops.
David DeJesus (KC)- (Available in 84% of leagues)
A .300 hitter that reached double digit steals and homeruns, moving back to a much more natural position. Sign me up.
Andruw Jones (TEX)- (Available in 97% of leagues)
If any Ranger outfielder or DH not named Josh Hamilton should struggle out of the gate, Jones-who is in much better shape than he's been in years-would be first in line to step in and take those ABs. If he can get to 400 at-bats, I could see him hitting about 20 HRs with a .250 to .270 BA.
Tuesday, April 7, 2009
Monday, April 6, 2009
What should you do with...
Aaron Harang-SP (CIN):
Pick him up. He was able to hold a potent Mets lineup to 1 run despite not having his best stuff. He could net you 15 wins and 200+ Ks.
Nelson Cruz-OF (TEX):
Pick him up. This kid is quickly shaking the "Quad-A" label that had been thrust upon him earlier in his career. He's been on a tear since entering Triple-A last season and I don't see him slowing down much this year barring injury. He could easily drive in 100+ runs hitting cleanup for the Rangers.
Hank Blalock-1B/3B/DH (TEX):
Wait and see. Yes, he did hit a fairly mammoth shot today, but I'm very wary of him because of his injury history. He could hit 25 HRs this year, but then again he may only play 50 games.
Jarrod Saltalamacchia-C (TEX):
Pick him up. (If there isn't a ton of depth at catcher in your league). He has the skill set to be a very productive catcher, but he will be splitting time with another young stud in Taylor Teagarden.
Kevin Milwood-SP (TEX)
Pick him up. His numbers were greatly inflated last year thanks in part to some awful luck. He should be significantly better this year.
Felipe Lopez-2B/SS/3B/OF (ARI)
Pick him up. This super-utility player will allow you to focus more on having just the best players as backups instead of worrying about getting each position covered, and he'll provided solid average, steals, and runs while doing so.
Tony Clark-1B (ARI)
Stay away. He's not promised playing time, and has a very difficult time making contact. No thanks.
Cesar Izturis-SS (BAL)
Stay away. Had a nice first game of the season, but there's a reason he was the last batter on a well below average Baltimore team.
Emilio Bonifacio-2B/3B (FLA)
Pick him up. Only if you want a lot cheap steals, an average average, and little help in the other categories. You could do worse with a backup 2B/3B.
Paul Maholm-SP (PIT)
Pick him up. This guy was a very solid pitcher last year, and is only 26. I think he puts together a season similar to last year.
Jason Motte-RP (STL)
Pick him up. So what, he had one bad outing. This kids stuff is electric. He may get dropped by a few trigger happy owners, so pick him up and relax with the 30+ saves you just picked up.
Adam Lind-OF/DH (TOR)
Pick him up!!!! Before the season, I thought he would be the best hitter in the Blue Jays lineup, and Monday's performance didn't calm those thoughts down any. Could hit 30+ HRs this year.
Travis Snider-OF (TOR)
Stay away. The glow of a shiny new prospect is always something to ogle after, but most of the time they leave you with a major feeling of disappointment. Don't get me wrong, this kid will be great-just not this year. If you're feeling lucky though, I wouldn't try to convince you not to take him.
Thats all for today. Stay tuned for tomorrow-I'll list my top young players and have another list similar to this.
Pick him up. He was able to hold a potent Mets lineup to 1 run despite not having his best stuff. He could net you 15 wins and 200+ Ks.
Nelson Cruz-OF (TEX):
Pick him up. This kid is quickly shaking the "Quad-A" label that had been thrust upon him earlier in his career. He's been on a tear since entering Triple-A last season and I don't see him slowing down much this year barring injury. He could easily drive in 100+ runs hitting cleanup for the Rangers.
Hank Blalock-1B/3B/DH (TEX):
Wait and see. Yes, he did hit a fairly mammoth shot today, but I'm very wary of him because of his injury history. He could hit 25 HRs this year, but then again he may only play 50 games.
Jarrod Saltalamacchia-C (TEX):
Pick him up. (If there isn't a ton of depth at catcher in your league). He has the skill set to be a very productive catcher, but he will be splitting time with another young stud in Taylor Teagarden.
Kevin Milwood-SP (TEX)
Pick him up. His numbers were greatly inflated last year thanks in part to some awful luck. He should be significantly better this year.
Felipe Lopez-2B/SS/3B/OF (ARI)
Pick him up. This super-utility player will allow you to focus more on having just the best players as backups instead of worrying about getting each position covered, and he'll provided solid average, steals, and runs while doing so.
Tony Clark-1B (ARI)
Stay away. He's not promised playing time, and has a very difficult time making contact. No thanks.
Cesar Izturis-SS (BAL)
Stay away. Had a nice first game of the season, but there's a reason he was the last batter on a well below average Baltimore team.
Emilio Bonifacio-2B/3B (FLA)
Pick him up. Only if you want a lot cheap steals, an average average, and little help in the other categories. You could do worse with a backup 2B/3B.
Paul Maholm-SP (PIT)
Pick him up. This guy was a very solid pitcher last year, and is only 26. I think he puts together a season similar to last year.
Jason Motte-RP (STL)
Pick him up. So what, he had one bad outing. This kids stuff is electric. He may get dropped by a few trigger happy owners, so pick him up and relax with the 30+ saves you just picked up.
Adam Lind-OF/DH (TOR)
Pick him up!!!! Before the season, I thought he would be the best hitter in the Blue Jays lineup, and Monday's performance didn't calm those thoughts down any. Could hit 30+ HRs this year.
Travis Snider-OF (TOR)
Stay away. The glow of a shiny new prospect is always something to ogle after, but most of the time they leave you with a major feeling of disappointment. Don't get me wrong, this kid will be great-just not this year. If you're feeling lucky though, I wouldn't try to convince you not to take him.
Thats all for today. Stay tuned for tomorrow-I'll list my top young players and have another list similar to this.
What should I do about...
Now that baseball season is finally here, it kicked off last night with a 4-1 win by the Braves over the Phillies, I will be posting a daily (or almost daily) tab of:
Jeff Francoeur (ATL):
Stay away. Sure he hit a home run yesterday, but it really wasn't all that impressive of a blast, and it was his only hit of the game. He has tweaked some things in his stance, but I'm not sold he's back to his old self again.
Jordan Schafer (ATL):
He did hit a home run in his first big league at bat and did finish the day 2-3 with a walk. That being said, I wouldn't take the bait on him. He was a Double A player last year, and if you project his stats out to a 550 AB season, they would be: 16 Homeruns, 80 RBIs, 72 Runs, 28 Doubles, and 130 or so strikeouts. His AA numbers weren't even worthy of fantasy starting material, so why would you want that on your team?
Brett Myers (PHI):
He did give up 3 HRs yesterday and didn't have his best command, but I don't think there is any reason to freak out on him. Give him a few starts and he should be back to the Brett Myers of last year (post all star break).
Check back tonight and I'll have some more updates on today's players.
- Under the radar players you should keep an eye on
- Low value players who had breakthrough game(s) and whether or not you should try to get them
- High value players who are struggling and if you should try to deal them or not.
- Anything else fantasy baseball related really.
Jeff Francoeur (ATL):
Stay away. Sure he hit a home run yesterday, but it really wasn't all that impressive of a blast, and it was his only hit of the game. He has tweaked some things in his stance, but I'm not sold he's back to his old self again.
Jordan Schafer (ATL):
He did hit a home run in his first big league at bat and did finish the day 2-3 with a walk. That being said, I wouldn't take the bait on him. He was a Double A player last year, and if you project his stats out to a 550 AB season, they would be: 16 Homeruns, 80 RBIs, 72 Runs, 28 Doubles, and 130 or so strikeouts. His AA numbers weren't even worthy of fantasy starting material, so why would you want that on your team?
Brett Myers (PHI):
He did give up 3 HRs yesterday and didn't have his best command, but I don't think there is any reason to freak out on him. Give him a few starts and he should be back to the Brett Myers of last year (post all star break).
Check back tonight and I'll have some more updates on today's players.
Friday, April 3, 2009
March TE Rankings
Tier one
1. Jason Witten (DAL)
Already was Romo's top target last year. He'll only see more passes go his way now that TO is gone.
2. Antonio Gates (SD)
Wasn't 100 percent last season, yet still put up very good numbers (60 rec. 785 yds and 8 TDs). He should be healthy again this year and his stats will reflect that.
3. Tony Gonzalez (KC)
The best TE in football last year and it really wasn't all that close. I think his numbers will drop off a small amount though because Cassel doesn't go to his TE's that much, prefering the outside, and Gonzalez is getting up there in age.
Tier two
4. Dallas Clark (IND)
Manning threw to him a ton the last 3 regular season games and in their playoff game 94 games total)-33 receptions for 339 yards and 2 TDs-which would project to 132 receptions, 1356 yards, and 8 tds over a 16 game season. Obviously he wont get those sorts of numbers but don't be shocked if he hits 80 or 90 catches and double digit TDs.
5. Owen Daniels (HOU)
He's increased his yards and receptions each year. Now if only we could do something about those touchdowns...
6. Kellen Winslow Jr (TB)
I'm a little unsure if this is too high for him or not, but I'm going to go with the gut feeling and say he has a year almost reminiscent of 2007.
7. Chris Cooley (WAS)
He had the best year of his career, if you only count catches and yards. Dude only scored 1 touchdown all of last year after getting 6,7,6, and 8 in his first four years in the league.
Tier three
8. Dustin Keller (NYJ)
Was an explosive threat at TE in the second half of last year, and often times young QBs look for their TEs more. Sounds like a winning combination to me.
9. Greg Olsen (CHI)
The Bears should throw a lot more with Jay Cutler in the mix now, and Olsen is the number 1 or 2 pass catcher on this team.
10. Zach Miller (OAK)
Only player on the Raiders to surpass 50 catches, and 40, and amazingly 30. Russell obviously loves throwing to this kid and no one else on this team so until they find another reliable threat, Miller will be ranked pretty high.
11. Tony Scheffler (DEN)
He's a great recieving tight end, but he has a very hard time staying healthy.
12. Jeremy Shockey (NO)
Same as above, except his injury list is a bit longer.
13. John Carlson (SEA)
He reminds me of Owen Daniels and Chris Cooley, not amazing athletes, but they get open and catch the football. That being said, the addition of TJ Houshmanzadeh hurts his value some.
14. Anthony Fasano (MIA)
He and Greg Camarillo were Chad Pennington's favorite targets most of last year, and now Camarillo is coming off ACL surgery.
15. Heath Miller (PIT)
It wouldn't surprise me if he lost his job this year. He looked so incredibly slow in the playoffs it wasn't even funny.
Tier four
16. Todd Heap (BAL)
He's gotten hurt so much the last few years that he is merely a shell of his former self. They brought in LJ Smith as a backup...not that he's any better or less injury prone.
17. Bo Scaife (TEN)
Surprised everyone last year with his play, but then again he's done that since his rookie year.
18. Visanthe Shinacoe (MIN)
Had a solid year last season, and the Vikings didn't really add anybody who would cut into his reception totals.
19. Brent Celek (PHI)
Considering he wasn't even a full time starter, he faired pretty well last year. LJ Smith signed with another team this offseason so Celek's numbers should rise.
20. Randy McMichael (STL)
Was quietly having a good season until he broke his tibia and tore a ligament in his leg.
21. Kevin Boss (NYG)
His greatest contributions last year were on the goaline (6 TDs). Will have to step up his play with the recent release of Plaxico.
22. Benjamin Watson (NE)
Injuries have sapped the potential of the former 1st round pick, but if he can stay healthy he could see a 40 reception season this year.
23. Marcedes Lewis (JAX)
This former 1st round pick quietly had a solid season (41-489-2). Could repeat, but something tells me he will fall a little short of those numbers.
24. Vernon Davis (SF)
A member of the 49ers All-Bust Team, this physical freak will be lucky to keep his job this year.
25. Donald Lee (GB)
2nd year man Jermichael Finley may steal some playing time.
Tier five
26. Ben Patrick (ARI)
27. Dante Rosario (CAR)
28. Robert Royal (BUF)
29. Steve Heiden (CLE)
30. Ben Utecht (CIN)
31. Martellus Bennett (DAL)
32. Ben Hartstock (ATL)
Tier six
33. Billy Miller (NO)
34. Alge Crumpler (TEN)
35. David Martin (MIA)
36. Leonard Pope (ARI)
37. Desmond Clark (CHI)
38. Daniel Graham (DEN)
39. David Thomas (NE)
40. Jermichael Finley (GB)
41. Alex Smith (TB)
42. Jeff King (CAR)
1. Jason Witten (DAL)
Already was Romo's top target last year. He'll only see more passes go his way now that TO is gone.
2. Antonio Gates (SD)
Wasn't 100 percent last season, yet still put up very good numbers (60 rec. 785 yds and 8 TDs). He should be healthy again this year and his stats will reflect that.
3. Tony Gonzalez (KC)
The best TE in football last year and it really wasn't all that close. I think his numbers will drop off a small amount though because Cassel doesn't go to his TE's that much, prefering the outside, and Gonzalez is getting up there in age.
Tier two
4. Dallas Clark (IND)
Manning threw to him a ton the last 3 regular season games and in their playoff game 94 games total)-33 receptions for 339 yards and 2 TDs-which would project to 132 receptions, 1356 yards, and 8 tds over a 16 game season. Obviously he wont get those sorts of numbers but don't be shocked if he hits 80 or 90 catches and double digit TDs.
5. Owen Daniels (HOU)
He's increased his yards and receptions each year. Now if only we could do something about those touchdowns...
6. Kellen Winslow Jr (TB)
I'm a little unsure if this is too high for him or not, but I'm going to go with the gut feeling and say he has a year almost reminiscent of 2007.
7. Chris Cooley (WAS)
He had the best year of his career, if you only count catches and yards. Dude only scored 1 touchdown all of last year after getting 6,7,6, and 8 in his first four years in the league.
Tier three
8. Dustin Keller (NYJ)
Was an explosive threat at TE in the second half of last year, and often times young QBs look for their TEs more. Sounds like a winning combination to me.
9. Greg Olsen (CHI)
The Bears should throw a lot more with Jay Cutler in the mix now, and Olsen is the number 1 or 2 pass catcher on this team.
10. Zach Miller (OAK)
Only player on the Raiders to surpass 50 catches, and 40, and amazingly 30. Russell obviously loves throwing to this kid and no one else on this team so until they find another reliable threat, Miller will be ranked pretty high.
11. Tony Scheffler (DEN)
He's a great recieving tight end, but he has a very hard time staying healthy.
12. Jeremy Shockey (NO)
Same as above, except his injury list is a bit longer.
13. John Carlson (SEA)
He reminds me of Owen Daniels and Chris Cooley, not amazing athletes, but they get open and catch the football. That being said, the addition of TJ Houshmanzadeh hurts his value some.
14. Anthony Fasano (MIA)
He and Greg Camarillo were Chad Pennington's favorite targets most of last year, and now Camarillo is coming off ACL surgery.
15. Heath Miller (PIT)
It wouldn't surprise me if he lost his job this year. He looked so incredibly slow in the playoffs it wasn't even funny.
Tier four
16. Todd Heap (BAL)
He's gotten hurt so much the last few years that he is merely a shell of his former self. They brought in LJ Smith as a backup...not that he's any better or less injury prone.
17. Bo Scaife (TEN)
Surprised everyone last year with his play, but then again he's done that since his rookie year.
18. Visanthe Shinacoe (MIN)
Had a solid year last season, and the Vikings didn't really add anybody who would cut into his reception totals.
19. Brent Celek (PHI)
Considering he wasn't even a full time starter, he faired pretty well last year. LJ Smith signed with another team this offseason so Celek's numbers should rise.
20. Randy McMichael (STL)
Was quietly having a good season until he broke his tibia and tore a ligament in his leg.
21. Kevin Boss (NYG)
His greatest contributions last year were on the goaline (6 TDs). Will have to step up his play with the recent release of Plaxico.
22. Benjamin Watson (NE)
Injuries have sapped the potential of the former 1st round pick, but if he can stay healthy he could see a 40 reception season this year.
23. Marcedes Lewis (JAX)
This former 1st round pick quietly had a solid season (41-489-2). Could repeat, but something tells me he will fall a little short of those numbers.
24. Vernon Davis (SF)
A member of the 49ers All-Bust Team, this physical freak will be lucky to keep his job this year.
25. Donald Lee (GB)
2nd year man Jermichael Finley may steal some playing time.
Tier five
26. Ben Patrick (ARI)
27. Dante Rosario (CAR)
28. Robert Royal (BUF)
29. Steve Heiden (CLE)
30. Ben Utecht (CIN)
31. Martellus Bennett (DAL)
32. Ben Hartstock (ATL)
Tier six
33. Billy Miller (NO)
34. Alge Crumpler (TEN)
35. David Martin (MIA)
36. Leonard Pope (ARI)
37. Desmond Clark (CHI)
38. Daniel Graham (DEN)
39. David Thomas (NE)
40. Jermichael Finley (GB)
41. Alex Smith (TB)
42. Jeff King (CAR)
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
March WR rankings
Tier one
1. Larry Fitzgerald (ARI)
If you watched the playoffs, there is no explanation needed.
2. Andre Johnson (HOU)
Almost a lick for 100 receptions a year (hint: try to get him in ppr leagues)
Tier two
3. Steve Smith (CAR)
Not very far behind the first two, only problem is how much the Panthers run
4. Brandon Marshall (DEN)
Subject to change after Cutler is traded and he is suspended
5. Randy Moss (NE)
Brady is back at QB, remember what they did in 2007?
6. Calvin Johnson (DET)
Possibly the most physically gifted athlete in the league, good. Third year in the league, good. Earns his paychecks in Detroit....dang. Two outta three ain't bad.
7. Roddy White (ATL)
Was Matt Ryan's primary target last year and the Falcons will pass more this year. Only downside is with Ryan's extra experience he will probably start distributing the more more evenly now.
8. Reggie Wayne (IND)
The number 1 option in a very pass-happy offense with a prolific QB. Sounds good to me.
Tier three
9. Anquan Boldin (ARI)
Top 5 WR on pure talent, but injuries and having Larry Fitzgerald lined up opposite him downgrades him some.
10. Wes Welker (NE)
111 and 112 receptions, respectively, last two years. Could be ranked a few spots higher in ppr league.
11. Marques Colston (NO)
Number 1 option on the most pass happy team in the NFL, but Brees is a fan of spreading the wealth.
12. TJ Houshmandzadeh (SEA)
Great possession type receiver. Should do well in the Seahawks West Coast offense.
Tier four
13. Dwayne Bowe (KC)
Passing game should be better this year with Cassel manning the helm, but the addition of Bobby Engram will cut into his catches slightly.
14. Greg Jennings (GB)
Started off on fire last year but cooled off considerably down the stretch. Expect a bit more consistency this year, but not much.
15. Braylon Edwards (CLE)
Who is the real Braylon, 2007 or 2008? My guess is pretty much right in between.
16. Vincent Jackson (SD)
Emerged as a true deep threat last year, averaging 18.6 yards per reception on 59 catches. Expect 15 to 20 more catches and a few more TDs. (Might need to move him up on the board...)
17. Santana Moss (WAS)
To be honest, I hate him as a fantasy player. Overshadows 150 yard, 3 TD games with too many 1 reception performances. I wouldn't draft him unless he falls way deep in the draft, but then i would immediately try to trade him.
18. Eddie Royal (Den)
A very explosive receiver, should only get better with experience. If Cutler gets moved though he may fall considerably.
19. Hines Ward (PIT)
Returned to the 1,000 yard mark last season, but I think that'll be the last time that happens.
20. Terrell Owens (BUF)
The Bills pass much less than the Cowboys, their QB is no where near Romo's caliber, and he is now 35. Bust warning.
Tier five
21. Antonio Bryant (TB)
Always had the talent, but never got his head straight. I'm not sold his production will continue.
22. Roy Williams (DET)
Jerry Jones shelled out a LOT for this guy. The pressure will be on him to produce.
23. Laveranues Coles (CIN)
With his new team, he should post similar, maybe marginally better numbers than he did the last 2 years.
24. DeSean Jackson (PHI)
Super talented player, but will he do one too many stupid things to not see the field as much?
25. Lee Evans (BUF)
The addition of Owens helps him out tremendously, but it also takes away the number of balls he'll see.
26. Santonio Holmes (PIT)
Talented player, yes, but he will be over hyped by everyone because of his Superbowl performance. Remember how well everyone was rewarded from Deion Branch's Superbowl heroics?
27. Chad Ocho Cinco (CIN)
The thing that made him a star (his passion, fire, and work ethic) seems to be slowly fading away, as will his (on the field) star status.
28. Derrick Mason (BAL)
Baltimore's number 1 passing target. But, that's not exciting for fantasy players or Ravens fans.
29. Bernard Berrian (MIN)
A great deep threat, but thats really it. Won't get a consistent number of catches because of that.
Tier six
30. Bobby Engram (KC)
Should help bolster the passing attack of the Chiefs, age and injuries are a huge concern though.
31. Kevin Walter (HOU)
Was a solid #2 for the Texans last year, expect similar numbers.
32. Steve Breaston (ARI)
Yes, he did surpass the 1,000 yard mark last year, but if Boldin and Fitzgerald stay healthy and the Cards try to run a bit more like I think they will, he could slide back to between 700 and 800 yards.
33. Lance Moore (NO)
Leading receiver for the best passing team last year, but Colston is back for the whole year and Shockey now has a full year of this offense under his belt. His numbers will drop some.
34. Donald Driver (GB)
Numbers have dropped each of the last three years, and at 34 with a very promising receiver opposite him, expect that trend to continue.
35. Dwayne Jarrett (CAR)
I think he really steps it up this year and overtakes Mushin Muhhammad for the #2 WR spot.
36. Domenik Hixon (NYG)
They won't pass a ton, and when they do they will spread it around, but somebody has to be the lead guy.
37. Donnie Avery (STL)
Only had 2, maybe 3 good games last year, but with Torry Holt gone he is now the go-to WR on this team.
38. Anthony Gonzalez (IND)
Will be the third or forth option on most plays (behind Wayne, Clark, and occasionally the backs) but on this team, that'll still lead to several catches.
39. Jerricho Cotchery (NYG)
Will be the number 1 option now, but how often will his QB(s) be able to get him the ball?
40. Devin Hester (CHI)
Will he be able to transform his amazing natural ability into solid WR skills? I say it'll take one more year.
Tier seven
41. Michael Jenkins (ATL)
42. Torry Holt (FA)
43. Malcolm Floyd (SD)
44. Mushin Muhhammad (CAR)
45. Tedd Ginn Jr. (MIA)
SEE: Devin Hester
46. Marvin Harrison (FA)
47. Kevin Curtis (PHI)
48. Devin Thomas (WAS)
Still a year away
49. Johnnie Lee Higgins (OAK)
50. Jason Hill (SF)
51. Miles Austin (DAL)
52. Greg Camarillo (MIA)
53. Steve Smith (NYG)
54. Reggie Brown (PHI)
55. Mark Clayton (BAL)
56. Davone Bess (MIA)
57. Patrick Crayton (DAL)
Tier eight
58. Sidney Rice (MIN)
59. Harry Douglas (ATL)
60. Joshua Cribbs (CLE)
61. Robert Meachem (NO)
62. Plaxico Burress (NYG)
There is no guarantee he'll play this year, but pay attention to whats going on with him.
63. Jordy Nelson (GB)
64. Matt Jones (FA)
Someone will sign him more than likely, and he could be a solid contributor to whoever does.
65. Nate Washington (TEN)
66. Chris Henry (CIN)
67. Reggie Williams (JAX)
68. Deion Branch (SEA)
69. Isaac Bruce (SF)
70. Michael Clayton
1. Larry Fitzgerald (ARI)
If you watched the playoffs, there is no explanation needed.
2. Andre Johnson (HOU)
Almost a lick for 100 receptions a year (hint: try to get him in ppr leagues)
Tier two
3. Steve Smith (CAR)
Not very far behind the first two, only problem is how much the Panthers run
4. Brandon Marshall (DEN)
Subject to change after Cutler is traded and he is suspended
5. Randy Moss (NE)
Brady is back at QB, remember what they did in 2007?
6. Calvin Johnson (DET)
Possibly the most physically gifted athlete in the league, good. Third year in the league, good. Earns his paychecks in Detroit....dang. Two outta three ain't bad.
7. Roddy White (ATL)
Was Matt Ryan's primary target last year and the Falcons will pass more this year. Only downside is with Ryan's extra experience he will probably start distributing the more more evenly now.
8. Reggie Wayne (IND)
The number 1 option in a very pass-happy offense with a prolific QB. Sounds good to me.
Tier three
9. Anquan Boldin (ARI)
Top 5 WR on pure talent, but injuries and having Larry Fitzgerald lined up opposite him downgrades him some.
10. Wes Welker (NE)
111 and 112 receptions, respectively, last two years. Could be ranked a few spots higher in ppr league.
11. Marques Colston (NO)
Number 1 option on the most pass happy team in the NFL, but Brees is a fan of spreading the wealth.
12. TJ Houshmandzadeh (SEA)
Great possession type receiver. Should do well in the Seahawks West Coast offense.
Tier four
13. Dwayne Bowe (KC)
Passing game should be better this year with Cassel manning the helm, but the addition of Bobby Engram will cut into his catches slightly.
14. Greg Jennings (GB)
Started off on fire last year but cooled off considerably down the stretch. Expect a bit more consistency this year, but not much.
15. Braylon Edwards (CLE)
Who is the real Braylon, 2007 or 2008? My guess is pretty much right in between.
16. Vincent Jackson (SD)
Emerged as a true deep threat last year, averaging 18.6 yards per reception on 59 catches. Expect 15 to 20 more catches and a few more TDs. (Might need to move him up on the board...)
17. Santana Moss (WAS)
To be honest, I hate him as a fantasy player. Overshadows 150 yard, 3 TD games with too many 1 reception performances. I wouldn't draft him unless he falls way deep in the draft, but then i would immediately try to trade him.
18. Eddie Royal (Den)
A very explosive receiver, should only get better with experience. If Cutler gets moved though he may fall considerably.
19. Hines Ward (PIT)
Returned to the 1,000 yard mark last season, but I think that'll be the last time that happens.
20. Terrell Owens (BUF)
The Bills pass much less than the Cowboys, their QB is no where near Romo's caliber, and he is now 35. Bust warning.
Tier five
21. Antonio Bryant (TB)
Always had the talent, but never got his head straight. I'm not sold his production will continue.
22. Roy Williams (DET)
Jerry Jones shelled out a LOT for this guy. The pressure will be on him to produce.
23. Laveranues Coles (CIN)
With his new team, he should post similar, maybe marginally better numbers than he did the last 2 years.
24. DeSean Jackson (PHI)
Super talented player, but will he do one too many stupid things to not see the field as much?
25. Lee Evans (BUF)
The addition of Owens helps him out tremendously, but it also takes away the number of balls he'll see.
26. Santonio Holmes (PIT)
Talented player, yes, but he will be over hyped by everyone because of his Superbowl performance. Remember how well everyone was rewarded from Deion Branch's Superbowl heroics?
27. Chad Ocho Cinco (CIN)
The thing that made him a star (his passion, fire, and work ethic) seems to be slowly fading away, as will his (on the field) star status.
28. Derrick Mason (BAL)
Baltimore's number 1 passing target. But, that's not exciting for fantasy players or Ravens fans.
29. Bernard Berrian (MIN)
A great deep threat, but thats really it. Won't get a consistent number of catches because of that.
Tier six
30. Bobby Engram (KC)
Should help bolster the passing attack of the Chiefs, age and injuries are a huge concern though.
31. Kevin Walter (HOU)
Was a solid #2 for the Texans last year, expect similar numbers.
32. Steve Breaston (ARI)
Yes, he did surpass the 1,000 yard mark last year, but if Boldin and Fitzgerald stay healthy and the Cards try to run a bit more like I think they will, he could slide back to between 700 and 800 yards.
33. Lance Moore (NO)
Leading receiver for the best passing team last year, but Colston is back for the whole year and Shockey now has a full year of this offense under his belt. His numbers will drop some.
34. Donald Driver (GB)
Numbers have dropped each of the last three years, and at 34 with a very promising receiver opposite him, expect that trend to continue.
35. Dwayne Jarrett (CAR)
I think he really steps it up this year and overtakes Mushin Muhhammad for the #2 WR spot.
36. Domenik Hixon (NYG)
They won't pass a ton, and when they do they will spread it around, but somebody has to be the lead guy.
37. Donnie Avery (STL)
Only had 2, maybe 3 good games last year, but with Torry Holt gone he is now the go-to WR on this team.
38. Anthony Gonzalez (IND)
Will be the third or forth option on most plays (behind Wayne, Clark, and occasionally the backs) but on this team, that'll still lead to several catches.
39. Jerricho Cotchery (NYG)
Will be the number 1 option now, but how often will his QB(s) be able to get him the ball?
40. Devin Hester (CHI)
Will he be able to transform his amazing natural ability into solid WR skills? I say it'll take one more year.
Tier seven
41. Michael Jenkins (ATL)
42. Torry Holt (FA)
43. Malcolm Floyd (SD)
44. Mushin Muhhammad (CAR)
45. Tedd Ginn Jr. (MIA)
SEE: Devin Hester
46. Marvin Harrison (FA)
47. Kevin Curtis (PHI)
48. Devin Thomas (WAS)
Still a year away
49. Johnnie Lee Higgins (OAK)
50. Jason Hill (SF)
51. Miles Austin (DAL)
52. Greg Camarillo (MIA)
53. Steve Smith (NYG)
54. Reggie Brown (PHI)
55. Mark Clayton (BAL)
56. Davone Bess (MIA)
57. Patrick Crayton (DAL)
Tier eight
58. Sidney Rice (MIN)
59. Harry Douglas (ATL)
60. Joshua Cribbs (CLE)
61. Robert Meachem (NO)
62. Plaxico Burress (NYG)
There is no guarantee he'll play this year, but pay attention to whats going on with him.
63. Jordy Nelson (GB)
64. Matt Jones (FA)
Someone will sign him more than likely, and he could be a solid contributor to whoever does.
65. Nate Washington (TEN)
66. Chris Henry (CIN)
67. Reggie Williams (JAX)
68. Deion Branch (SEA)
69. Isaac Bruce (SF)
70. Michael Clayton
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
March RB Rankings
Tier one
1. Adrian Peterson (MIN)
Minnesota now has a QB who can keep the pressure of off him.
2. Clinton Portis (WAS)
Washington's offense should begin and end with him this year
3. Michael Turner (ATL)
Amazing runner, but each year Matt Ryan progresses, the Falcons will throw more and therefore Turner's numbers will dip slightly.
4. DeAngelo Williams (CAR)
Threat to score every time he touches the ball. Beware of an increased load for Jonathan Stewart though.
Tier two
5. Brandon Jacobs (NYG)
Now that Ward is gone, expect the mountain of a man Jacobs recieve 300+ carries, if he stays healthy.
6. Maurice Jones-Drew (JAX)
No longer has to share touches with Fred Taylor
7. Matt Forte (CHI)
Was Chicago's do-all and end-all player on offense last year. They haven't added much so expect more of the same.
8. Steven Jackson (STL)
Would be top 3 if he wasn't so injury prone (and if the Rams had an O-line)
Tier three
9. Chris Jonson (TEN)
Sensational rookie campaign, but runners that rely so much on speed always worry me...
10. Brian Westbrook (PHI)
The most versatile running back since Marshall Faulk, he just has a problem staying on the field.
11. Steve Slaton (HOU)
A perfect fit for the zone run scheme. Expect another great year.
12. Frank Gore (SF)
A versatile back who can contribute greatly...when he is healthy and playing on the west coast.
13 LaDanian Tomlinson (SD)
His YPC should head north of the 4.0 mark again, but Sproles will steal quite a few touches.
14. Marion Barber (DAL)
Punishing runners tend to have very short runs atop the fantasy world. Has his body taken too much abuse?
Tier 4
15. Ronnie Brown (MIA)
Now that he is over a year removed from his torn ACL, he should be quite a dynamic all around back again.
16. Thomas Jones (NYJ)
He's over 30, has a QB nobody is afraid of, and has a terrific athlete behind him. Bust watch!
17. Kevin Smith (DET)
Really came on strong the end of last year, but he plays for the Lions, that is never good.
18. Darren McFadden (OAK)
The Raiders have 2 starting material RBs in the backfield, he's had an injury history, and a below average O-Line. Don't put too much stock in him.
19. Willie Parker (PIT)
Shared carries with Mewelde Moore last year, and often times got outperformed. Now Mendenhall will be added to that mix.
20. Jonathan Stewart (CAR)
A load at runningback, he will be a very solid #2 this year.
Tier five
21. Ryan Grant (GB)
Didn't prove that the 2007 Ryan Grant was who he really is.
22. Joseph Addai (IND)
Banged up all of last year, something tells me he'll continue to be injured this year.
23. Pierre Thomas (NO)
Will take over the Deuce McAllister role, only will play it much more effectively. Still, the Saints will throw it 40+ times a game, leaving little value for Thomas
24. Cedric Benson (CIN)
Really came on strong down the stretch. Has he finally figured it out?
25. Larry Johnson (KC)
A definite canidate for suspensions, fines, benchings, etc.
26. Derrick Ward (TB)
Tampa has 3 or 4 runners who could all start. Be wary.
27. Willis McGahee (BAL)
Look for the Ray Rice to begin in Baltimore sooner rather than later
28. Marshawn Lynch (BUF)
If Fred Jackson performs well in his place, he could have trouble finding the starting lineup again.
29. Jamal Lewis (CLE)
He's old, he's slow, he's lucky he's Cleveland's only real option at RB (right now)
30. Sammy Morris (NE)
Will share carries with a stable of New England runners
31. Fred Jackson (BUF)
Performed better than Lynch last year. I expect the same this year.
32. Tim Hightower (ARI)
Has the goalline duties locked up, but will he be the go to guy for the rest of the field?
33. Leon Washington (NYJ)
Dynamic playmaker could steal several touches from started Thomas Jones
34. LenDale White (TEN)
I'm not sure he could break a 5.0 flat in the 40, but he will get his touchdowns
35. Darren Sproles (SD)
See: Leon Washington
36. Ray Rice (BAL)
I predict he takes over the starting job 6 weeks in.
37. Reggie Bush (NO)
A scat type back coming off microfracture surgery? No, thanks
38. Maurice Morris (SEA)
Was Seattle's most effective runner last year. (Congrats?)
Tier seix
39. Tashard Choice
40. LaMont Jordan
41. Jamaal Charles
42. Earnest Graham
43. Felix Jones
44. Ahmad Bradshaw
45. Carnell Williams
46. Justin Fargas
47. Michael Bush
48. Rashard Mendenhall
49. Mewelde Moore
50. Le'Ron McClain
51. Julius Jones
52. Warrick Dunn
53. Ricky Williams
54. Fred Taylor
55. Edgerrin James
1. Adrian Peterson (MIN)
Minnesota now has a QB who can keep the pressure of off him.
2. Clinton Portis (WAS)
Washington's offense should begin and end with him this year
3. Michael Turner (ATL)
Amazing runner, but each year Matt Ryan progresses, the Falcons will throw more and therefore Turner's numbers will dip slightly.
4. DeAngelo Williams (CAR)
Threat to score every time he touches the ball. Beware of an increased load for Jonathan Stewart though.
Tier two
5. Brandon Jacobs (NYG)
Now that Ward is gone, expect the mountain of a man Jacobs recieve 300+ carries, if he stays healthy.
6. Maurice Jones-Drew (JAX)
No longer has to share touches with Fred Taylor
7. Matt Forte (CHI)
Was Chicago's do-all and end-all player on offense last year. They haven't added much so expect more of the same.
8. Steven Jackson (STL)
Would be top 3 if he wasn't so injury prone (and if the Rams had an O-line)
Tier three
9. Chris Jonson (TEN)
Sensational rookie campaign, but runners that rely so much on speed always worry me...
10. Brian Westbrook (PHI)
The most versatile running back since Marshall Faulk, he just has a problem staying on the field.
11. Steve Slaton (HOU)
A perfect fit for the zone run scheme. Expect another great year.
12. Frank Gore (SF)
A versatile back who can contribute greatly...when he is healthy and playing on the west coast.
13 LaDanian Tomlinson (SD)
His YPC should head north of the 4.0 mark again, but Sproles will steal quite a few touches.
14. Marion Barber (DAL)
Punishing runners tend to have very short runs atop the fantasy world. Has his body taken too much abuse?
Tier 4
15. Ronnie Brown (MIA)
Now that he is over a year removed from his torn ACL, he should be quite a dynamic all around back again.
16. Thomas Jones (NYJ)
He's over 30, has a QB nobody is afraid of, and has a terrific athlete behind him. Bust watch!
17. Kevin Smith (DET)
Really came on strong the end of last year, but he plays for the Lions, that is never good.
18. Darren McFadden (OAK)
The Raiders have 2 starting material RBs in the backfield, he's had an injury history, and a below average O-Line. Don't put too much stock in him.
19. Willie Parker (PIT)
Shared carries with Mewelde Moore last year, and often times got outperformed. Now Mendenhall will be added to that mix.
20. Jonathan Stewart (CAR)
A load at runningback, he will be a very solid #2 this year.
Tier five
21. Ryan Grant (GB)
Didn't prove that the 2007 Ryan Grant was who he really is.
22. Joseph Addai (IND)
Banged up all of last year, something tells me he'll continue to be injured this year.
23. Pierre Thomas (NO)
Will take over the Deuce McAllister role, only will play it much more effectively. Still, the Saints will throw it 40+ times a game, leaving little value for Thomas
24. Cedric Benson (CIN)
Really came on strong down the stretch. Has he finally figured it out?
25. Larry Johnson (KC)
A definite canidate for suspensions, fines, benchings, etc.
26. Derrick Ward (TB)
Tampa has 3 or 4 runners who could all start. Be wary.
27. Willis McGahee (BAL)
Look for the Ray Rice to begin in Baltimore sooner rather than later
28. Marshawn Lynch (BUF)
If Fred Jackson performs well in his place, he could have trouble finding the starting lineup again.
29. Jamal Lewis (CLE)
He's old, he's slow, he's lucky he's Cleveland's only real option at RB (right now)
30. Sammy Morris (NE)
Will share carries with a stable of New England runners
31. Fred Jackson (BUF)
Performed better than Lynch last year. I expect the same this year.
32. Tim Hightower (ARI)
Has the goalline duties locked up, but will he be the go to guy for the rest of the field?
33. Leon Washington (NYJ)
Dynamic playmaker could steal several touches from started Thomas Jones
34. LenDale White (TEN)
I'm not sure he could break a 5.0 flat in the 40, but he will get his touchdowns
35. Darren Sproles (SD)
See: Leon Washington
36. Ray Rice (BAL)
I predict he takes over the starting job 6 weeks in.
37. Reggie Bush (NO)
A scat type back coming off microfracture surgery? No, thanks
38. Maurice Morris (SEA)
Was Seattle's most effective runner last year. (Congrats?)
Tier seix
39. Tashard Choice
40. LaMont Jordan
41. Jamaal Charles
42. Earnest Graham
43. Felix Jones
44. Ahmad Bradshaw
45. Carnell Williams
46. Justin Fargas
47. Michael Bush
48. Rashard Mendenhall
49. Mewelde Moore
50. Le'Ron McClain
51. Julius Jones
52. Warrick Dunn
53. Ricky Williams
54. Fred Taylor
55. Edgerrin James
Monday, March 30, 2009
March QB Rankings
Ah, its about that time of year...almost. Football is...kind of...about to kick off its 2009-2010 season, and with that comes countless hours of fantasy football research, looking up stats, trying to find the next sleeper, and also the drafts themselves. To help you out a little, I'm going to try to help you all out a little by giving you monthly fantasy rankings by position. And where else would we start but quarterback?
Tier one
1. Drew Brees (NO)
He threw for over 5,00o yards last year and with Deuce gone and Reggie Bush recovering from microfracture surgery, look for the Saints to chuck it as much or more as they did last year.
2. Peyton Manning (IND)
A lock for 3,800+ passing yards and 25 TDs. Sign me up.
3. Tom Brady (NE)
Yes the knee injury is scary, but with all the rules protecting quarterbacks, he should be alright. He won't be the 2007 Brady, but 4,000 yards and 30 TDs is likely.
Tier two
4. Philip Rivers (SD)
Was 2008 an anomaly or the beginning of a great career? I'd say the latter.
5. Kurt Warner (ARI)
His 2008 season was insane, but at his age can you really predict another season like that? 2009 should be close, but not the same.
6. Donovan McNabb (PHI)
Proved all of the critics wrong last year, again. Expect another big season from McNabb
7. Jay Cutler (DEN)
Its never good when a quarterback and coach aren't on the same page, but the product on the field shouldn't be affected. If he falls to the 3rd or 4th round, pick him up and reap the benefits
8. Tony Romo (DAL)
I think Dallas will become much more of a grind-it-out team this year which obviously will affect Romo's stats. He'll still be a very solid fantasy quarterback this year.
Tier three
9. Aaron Rodgers (GB)
He had a great year last year, but I'm still not 100 percent sold on him. I'd draft him as my number 2 QB.
10. Carson Palmer (CIN)
The elbow injury has me worried, but he could return to his '07 form. If you draft him, make sure you get a reliable backup.
11. Matt Ryan (ATL)
Atlanta's QB of the future outdid everyone's expectations last year. Can he prove us wrong again by becoming one of the top fantasy QBs in the league this year? I wouldn't go that far, but he should be very good.
12. Matt Shaub (HOU)
The guy does get hurt quite a bit, but if he could ever string together a full season, 4,000 yards is a possibility.
13. Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)
His numbers last year really weren't that great. Expect numbers a little better but nothing drastic.
14. Matt Cassel (KC)
Was Cassel a product of Belichick's sytem and 3 years of grooming in aformentioned system or is he the real deal? I'd say he'll produce somewhere inbetween how he started last year and how he ended.
Tier four
15. Eli Manning (NYG)
A very good real-life quarterback, much of his fantasy value is taken away by the Giants running game.
16. Chad Pennington (MIA)
The Dolphins really through the ball around the yard a lot more than I thought they would, granted it was a fair amount of dinking and dunking, but I expect them to focus on the ground game even more this year now that Ronnie Brown is a year-and-a-half removed from his torn ACL.
17. Joe Flacco (BAL)
Delaware's finest struggled early on (1 TD and 7 picks threw 5 games) but finished with 14 TDs and 12 INTs. Expect Flacco to continue to be a game manager this year, therefore not finishing with outrageous stats
18. Kyle Orton (CHI)
He was very good for part of the year then fell off a little after his injury. Potential sleeper here.
19. David Garrard (JAX)
2007 is looking like a fluke year. Don't expect much more than 3,300 yds and 16 TDs.
20. Matt Hasslebeck (SEA)
Many people will have him ranked higher, but I have a feeling he will be on the sidelines often due to injury. Draft him if you want, I'm staying away.
Tier five
21. Marc Bulger (STL)
Hasn't been the same since he got his contract. Don't be surprised if he loses his job before the season reaches its half-way point.
22. Shaun Hill (SF)
He hasn't officially been named starter, but once he is, he'll move up a handful of spots.
23. Brady Quinn (CLE)
See above
24. Trent Edwards (BUF)
Getting T.O helps, but bottom line is he won't ever be a big-time numbers QB.
25. Kerry Collins (TEN)
He's a game manager not a game changer, and his numbers will reflect that.
26. Sage Rosenfels (MIN)
All he'll be asked to do is not turn the ball over. He's just not going to put up numbers here.
27. Jason Campbell (WAS)
Clinton Portis will be options 1, 2, and 3 for this team, leaving little time for Campbell to put up stats.
Tier six
28. Daunte Culpepper (DET)
He's still the QB for the Lions-at least for now-and as long as he, or anyone else is there...they are fantasy irrelevant.
29. Kellen Clemens (NYJ)
Hopefully a year of tips from Favre will do him some good. I'm betting it doesn't though and he and the Jets stumble through the season with little more than nothing for a passing game.
30. Jake Delhomme (CAR)
He threw 5 INTs in his last game, a playoff game, and had an entire offseason to think about that. He won't be the 30th best QB in fantasy-16 to 20 is likely- I just don't want anything to do with him this year.
31. Luke McCown (TB)
Maybe the Bucs know something we don't-I'm not biting.
32. JaMarcus Russell (OAK)
He has a strong arm and...well he likes to be overweight. No thanks
Tier seven (backups)
33. Jeff Garcia (FA)
34. Seneca Wallace (SEA)
35. Drew Stanton (DET)
36. Vince Young (TEN)
37. Matt Leinart (ARI)
38. Alex Smith (SF)
39. Derek Anderson (CLE)
40. Tarvares Jackson (MIN)
41. Tyler Thigpen (KC)
42. Brett Ratliff (NYJ)
43. Matt Moore (CAR)
44. Brock Berlin (STL)
45. Chad Henne (MIA)
Tier one
1. Drew Brees (NO)
He threw for over 5,00o yards last year and with Deuce gone and Reggie Bush recovering from microfracture surgery, look for the Saints to chuck it as much or more as they did last year.
2. Peyton Manning (IND)
A lock for 3,800+ passing yards and 25 TDs. Sign me up.
3. Tom Brady (NE)
Yes the knee injury is scary, but with all the rules protecting quarterbacks, he should be alright. He won't be the 2007 Brady, but 4,000 yards and 30 TDs is likely.
Tier two
4. Philip Rivers (SD)
Was 2008 an anomaly or the beginning of a great career? I'd say the latter.
5. Kurt Warner (ARI)
His 2008 season was insane, but at his age can you really predict another season like that? 2009 should be close, but not the same.
6. Donovan McNabb (PHI)
Proved all of the critics wrong last year, again. Expect another big season from McNabb
7. Jay Cutler (DEN)
Its never good when a quarterback and coach aren't on the same page, but the product on the field shouldn't be affected. If he falls to the 3rd or 4th round, pick him up and reap the benefits
8. Tony Romo (DAL)
I think Dallas will become much more of a grind-it-out team this year which obviously will affect Romo's stats. He'll still be a very solid fantasy quarterback this year.
Tier three
9. Aaron Rodgers (GB)
He had a great year last year, but I'm still not 100 percent sold on him. I'd draft him as my number 2 QB.
10. Carson Palmer (CIN)
The elbow injury has me worried, but he could return to his '07 form. If you draft him, make sure you get a reliable backup.
11. Matt Ryan (ATL)
Atlanta's QB of the future outdid everyone's expectations last year. Can he prove us wrong again by becoming one of the top fantasy QBs in the league this year? I wouldn't go that far, but he should be very good.
12. Matt Shaub (HOU)
The guy does get hurt quite a bit, but if he could ever string together a full season, 4,000 yards is a possibility.
13. Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)
His numbers last year really weren't that great. Expect numbers a little better but nothing drastic.
14. Matt Cassel (KC)
Was Cassel a product of Belichick's sytem and 3 years of grooming in aformentioned system or is he the real deal? I'd say he'll produce somewhere inbetween how he started last year and how he ended.
Tier four
15. Eli Manning (NYG)
A very good real-life quarterback, much of his fantasy value is taken away by the Giants running game.
16. Chad Pennington (MIA)
The Dolphins really through the ball around the yard a lot more than I thought they would, granted it was a fair amount of dinking and dunking, but I expect them to focus on the ground game even more this year now that Ronnie Brown is a year-and-a-half removed from his torn ACL.
17. Joe Flacco (BAL)
Delaware's finest struggled early on (1 TD and 7 picks threw 5 games) but finished with 14 TDs and 12 INTs. Expect Flacco to continue to be a game manager this year, therefore not finishing with outrageous stats
18. Kyle Orton (CHI)
He was very good for part of the year then fell off a little after his injury. Potential sleeper here.
19. David Garrard (JAX)
2007 is looking like a fluke year. Don't expect much more than 3,300 yds and 16 TDs.
20. Matt Hasslebeck (SEA)
Many people will have him ranked higher, but I have a feeling he will be on the sidelines often due to injury. Draft him if you want, I'm staying away.
Tier five
21. Marc Bulger (STL)
Hasn't been the same since he got his contract. Don't be surprised if he loses his job before the season reaches its half-way point.
22. Shaun Hill (SF)
He hasn't officially been named starter, but once he is, he'll move up a handful of spots.
23. Brady Quinn (CLE)
See above
24. Trent Edwards (BUF)
Getting T.O helps, but bottom line is he won't ever be a big-time numbers QB.
25. Kerry Collins (TEN)
He's a game manager not a game changer, and his numbers will reflect that.
26. Sage Rosenfels (MIN)
All he'll be asked to do is not turn the ball over. He's just not going to put up numbers here.
27. Jason Campbell (WAS)
Clinton Portis will be options 1, 2, and 3 for this team, leaving little time for Campbell to put up stats.
Tier six
28. Daunte Culpepper (DET)
He's still the QB for the Lions-at least for now-and as long as he, or anyone else is there...they are fantasy irrelevant.
29. Kellen Clemens (NYJ)
Hopefully a year of tips from Favre will do him some good. I'm betting it doesn't though and he and the Jets stumble through the season with little more than nothing for a passing game.
30. Jake Delhomme (CAR)
He threw 5 INTs in his last game, a playoff game, and had an entire offseason to think about that. He won't be the 30th best QB in fantasy-16 to 20 is likely- I just don't want anything to do with him this year.
31. Luke McCown (TB)
Maybe the Bucs know something we don't-I'm not biting.
32. JaMarcus Russell (OAK)
He has a strong arm and...well he likes to be overweight. No thanks
Tier seven (backups)
33. Jeff Garcia (FA)
34. Seneca Wallace (SEA)
35. Drew Stanton (DET)
36. Vince Young (TEN)
37. Matt Leinart (ARI)
38. Alex Smith (SF)
39. Derek Anderson (CLE)
40. Tarvares Jackson (MIN)
41. Tyler Thigpen (KC)
42. Brett Ratliff (NYJ)
43. Matt Moore (CAR)
44. Brock Berlin (STL)
45. Chad Henne (MIA)
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